AI Crypto Alerts

Latest Binance scans, GPT analysis, liquidity checks, outcomes, and notification state.

DOGEUSDT Trend Graph

96 points from Binance 15m candles
Close graph
Latest 0.08701000
Change -1.85%
High 0.09078000
Low 0.08685000
Jun 15 05:30 to Jun 16 05:15Entry 0.08706000Stop 0.08601528Target 0.08780875

Coin Summary

  • Alerts: 278, BUY signals: 0
  • Targets: 0, stops: 0
  • Win rate: -
  • Avg max gain: -, avg drawdown: -

Open Trade

No open auto trade for this coin.

Latest Alerts

  • 2026-06-16 08:15:41 · AVOID · score 5
    Current risk/reward is weak compared with the recent range. Current price: 0.08706000.
  • 2026-06-16 08:00:41 · AVOID · score 6
    Current risk/reward is weak compared with the recent range. Current price: 0.08696000.
  • 2026-06-16 07:45:37 · AVOID · score 5
    Current risk/reward is weak compared with the recent range. Current price: 0.08684000.
  • 2026-06-16 07:30:39 · AVOID · score 12
    Current risk/reward is weak compared with the recent range. Current price: 0.08702000.
  • 2026-06-16 07:15:53 · AVOID · score 12
    Current risk/reward is weak compared with the recent range. Current price: 0.08731000.

Latest Snapshots

  • 2026-06-16 08:15:41 · price 0.08706000 · gain -1.64%
    RSI 35.69 · liquidity 93 · filters Volume trend is fading; Volatility too low; BTC dominance is too high for weak-regime alt setup; Trading session is low quality
  • 2026-06-16 08:00:41 · price 0.08696000 · gain -1.80%
    RSI 30.43 · liquidity 99 · filters Volume trend is fading; Volatility too low; BTC dominance is too high for weak-regime alt setup; Trading session is low quality
  • 2026-06-16 07:45:37 · price 0.08684000 · gain -2.01%
    RSI 29.30 · liquidity 92 · filters Volume trend is fading; Volatility too low; BTC dominance is too high for weak-regime alt setup; Trading session is low quality
  • 2026-06-16 07:30:39 · price 0.08702000 · gain -2.03%
    RSI 33.71 · liquidity 93 · filters Volatility too low; BTC dominance is too high for weak-regime alt setup; Trading session is low quality
  • 2026-06-16 07:15:53 · price 0.08731000 · gain -1.81%
    RSI 40.89 · liquidity 92 · filters Volatility too low; BTC dominance is too high for weak-regime alt setup; Trading session is low quality

Latest Outcomes

No outcomes yet.
Total alerts 5871
Buy signals 2
Avg confidence 44.3%
Avg score 26.2
Snapshots 24h 3734
Target hits 30d 1
Stop hits 30d 1
Latest backtest 57.75%
Backtest expectancy -0.04R PF 0.88
Walk-forward 0.0% MONTHLY -0.17R avg
Auto mode TEST
Spot USDT 10,000.00 Free 10,000.00, locked 0.00
Spot estimate 342,519.63 SPOT account, 446 assets
Open auto trades 0 0 pending
Today profits 0.00 0 closed today
Today losses 0.00 Gross closed-trade losses
Today auto PnL 0.00
Avg entry slip - Fill -, missed 0
Entry fill wait - 0 pending, partial exits -
Daily target 1%

Auto Trader Safety Switch

Runtime is ON. default is enabled.

Daily Guardrails

  • Status: Trading allowed · ok
  • Today PnL: 0.00 USDT
  • Target remaining: 100.00 of 100.00 USDT
  • Max loss remaining: 75.00 of 75.00 USDT
  • Open exposure: 0.00 of 3,000.00 USDT
  • Open risk: 0.00 of 200.00 USDT
  • Entries today: 0 of 2
  • Loss streak: 0 of 3
  • Effective risk/trade: 0.25%
  • Theme cap: 1 open position(s) per theme
  • Emergency failures 60m: entry 0, exit 0, monitor 0

Configuration Thresholds

Category Setting Env Key Current Status Guidance
Scanner Minimum notify score SCANNER_MIN_NOTIFY_SCORE 80 WARN Keep 85-95 while validating so only the strongest setups reach notifications and auto-trading.
Quality Minimum reward/risk MIN_REWARD_RISK_RATIO 1.30 WARN 1.5R+ keeps average winners large enough to survive fees, slippage, and false positives.
Quality Minimum coin ATR% MIN_ATR_PERCENT_FOR_TRADE 0.80% WARN Avoid dead coins; 1.0%-1.5% keeps candidates volatile enough for short-term momentum.
Risk Max stop-loss distance MAX_STOP_LOSS_PERCENT 3.50% WARN 3% or less avoids setups where one stop can dominate several winners.
Quality Max RSI for BUY MAX_RSI_FOR_BUY 76.0 WARN 70 or lower helps avoid chasing late momentum spikes.
Quality Max 24h gain for BUY MAX_GAIN_FOR_BUY 38.0% WARN 30% or lower reduces entries after most of the move may already be gone.
Liquidity Max scanner spread MAX_SPREAD_PERCENT 0.500% PASS Wide spreads damage expectancy before the trade even starts.
Liquidity Minimum liquidity score MIN_LIQUIDITY_SCORE 55 PASS 55+ keeps the scanner biased toward tradable books.
Regime Market breadth filter MARKET_BREADTH_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled so weak broad-market participation can block ordinary alt setups.
Regime BTC correlation filter CORRELATION_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled to avoid highly correlated alt exposure during weak BTC regimes.
Regime BTC dominance filter BTC_DOMINANCE_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled because rising BTC dominance can make alt momentum fragile.
Regime BTC volatility filter BTC_VOLATILITY_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled to avoid ordinary alt entries during BTC volatility extremes.
Regime Derivatives pressure filter DERIVATIVES_PRESSURE_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled to block ordinary alt entries when BTC futures funding/open interest are overheated or stressed.
Regime Stablecoin flow filter STABLECOIN_FLOW_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled to avoid ordinary alt entries when major stablecoin market cap is contracting.
Regime News sentiment filter NEWS_SENTIMENT_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled to block fresh headline-risk environments.
Regime Trading session filter SESSION_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled to focus entries around London and New York liquidity windows.
Auto Trade Mode AUTO_TRADE_MODE TEST PASS Use paper or test until validation, execution quality, and outcomes are consistently positive.
Auto Trade Risk per trade AUTO_TRADE_RISK_PER_TRADE_PERCENT 0.25% PASS 0.5%-1.0% is the safer range for a 1000 USDT test account while validation is still building.
Auto Trade Dynamic position tiers AUTO_TRADE_DYNAMIC_POSITION_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled so top-score setups can use larger caps while risk checks remain active.
Auto Trade Daily max loss AUTO_TRADE_DAILY_MAX_LOSS_PERCENT 0.75% PASS Keep daily loss near 1% or less until live expectancy is proven.
Portfolio Max open positions AUTO_TRADE_MAX_OPEN_POSITIONS 2 PASS One or two concurrent positions keeps correlated losses contained.
Portfolio Max total exposure AUTO_TRADE_MAX_TOTAL_EXPOSURE_PERCENT 30.0% PASS 30% or less prevents the bot from overcommitting during noisy conditions.
Auto Trade Minimum auto-trade score AUTO_TRADE_MIN_SCORE 82 WARN 90+ is recommended while validation gates and outcome history are still building.
Validation Require positive backtest AUTO_TRADE_REQUIRE_POSITIVE_BACKTEST false WARN Keep enabled so auto-trading blocks symbols without enough historical support.
Validation Require positive walk-forward AUTO_TRADE_REQUIRE_POSITIVE_WALK_FORWARD false WARN Keep enabled because out-of-sample windows matter more than a single backtest.
Validation Max walk-forward age AUTO_TRADE_MAX_WALK_FORWARD_AGE_DAYS 14d PASS Refresh validation at least every two weeks, faster during regime changes.

Editable Guardrails

Enable DASHBOARD_AUTH_ENABLED=true before changing settings from the dashboard. This keeps config writes behind password authentication and CSRF protection.

Job Health

Job Health Status Last Run Age Max Age Last Message
Snapshot Collector HEALTHY OK 2026-06-16 05:15:17 2.5m 45m Snapshots collected.
Scanner HEALTHY OK 2026-06-16 05:15:58 1.8m 45m Scan completed.
Outcome Checker HEALTHY OK 2026-06-16 05:10:04 7.7m 30m Outcome check completed.
Auto Trader HEALTHY OK 2026-06-16 05:17:04 0.7m 15m No eligible alerts for autotrading.
Validator HEALTHY OK 2026-06-16 03:00:52 136.9m 720m Validation batch completed.

Validation Gates

Coin Status Backtest BT Setups BT Exp BT DD BT Losses Walk-forward WF Windows WF Pass WF Exp WF Age
BTCUSDT PASS PASS 0 - - 0 PASS 1 0.0% - 0.0d
ETHUSDT PASS PASS 10 -0.62R 6.23R 10 PASS 1 0.0% -0.58R 0.0d
BNBUSDT PASS PASS 1 -0.79R 0.79R 1 PASS 1 0.0% -0.75R 0.0d
SOLUSDT PASS PASS 22 -0.16R 3.43R 12 PASS 1 0.0% -0.19R 0.0d
XRPUSDT PASS PASS 8 -0.77R 6.64R 6 PASS 1 0.0% -0.57R 0.0d
DOGEUSDT PASS PASS 9 -0.32R 2.88R 9 PASS 1 0.0% -0.38R 0.0d
ADAUSDT PASS PASS 36 -0.17R 8.04R 19 PASS 1 0.0% -0.21R 0.0d
LINKUSDT PASS PASS 25 -0.28R 6.95R 7 PASS 1 0.0% -0.34R 0.0d
AVAXUSDT PASS PASS 17 -0.38R 6.53R 5 PASS 1 0.0% -0.32R 0.0d
SUIUSDT PASS PASS 25 -0.33R 7.81R 6 PASS 1 0.0% -0.35R 0.0d
TRXUSDT PASS PASS 7 -0.29R 2.00R 4 PASS 1 0.0% -0.13R 0.0d
NEARUSDT PASS PASS 87 -0.22R 30.93R 11 PASS 1 100.0% 0.04R 0.0d
ONDOUSDT PASS PASS 76 -0.03R 10.58R 8 PASS 1 0.0% -0.17R 0.0d
INJUSDT PASS PASS 43 0.05R 4.46R 5 PASS 1 100.0% 0.09R 0.0d
WLDUSDT PASS PASS 85 0.10R 10.58R 10 PASS 1 100.0% 0.05R 0.0d
ZECUSDT PASS PASS 65 -0.33R 28.35R 15 PASS 1 0.0% -0.19R 0.0d
DASHUSDT PASS PASS 71 -0.04R 11.33R 13 PASS 1 0.0% -0.17R 0.0d
These are the same latest-symbol validation gates used before auto-trading opens a candidate.

Open Position Risk

Coin Mode Entry Current Stop Target Live PnL Risk To Stop To Target
No open auto trades.

Execution Quality

Time Coin Mode Status Planned Entry Actual Entry Slippage Fill Wait Pending Expiry Partial Exit Quote R Reason
2026-06-13 19:46:04 WLDUSDT TEST SKIPPED 0.50240000 0.50240000 0.000% 0.0m - - 0.00 - reward/risk below minimum at current price
Fill rate excludes still-pending entries and compares filled planned entries against missed/expired paper limit entries over the last 30 days.

Recent Auto Trades

Opened Coin Mode Status Entry Stop Target Quote PnL Reason
2026-06-13 19:46:04 WLDUSDT TEST SKIPPED 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.00 - reward/risk below minimum at current price

Recent Alerts

Reset
Showing 1-20 of 5871 alerts
Time Coin Signal Score Gain RSI Entry Stop Target Duration Risk Liquidity Reasoning
2026-06-16 08:15:55 DASHUSDT
37.9600		 AVOID 12
40%		 0.19% 50.84 37.9600 36.8941 38.2478 AVOID VERY HIGH 97
2026-06-16 08:15:53 WLDUSDT
0.58090000		 AVOID 20
40%		 -2.19% 37.06 0.58090000 0.57076857 0.59407086 AVOID VERY HIGH 98
2026-06-16 08:15:51 ONDOUSDT
0.37340000		 AVOID 26
40%		 -2.66% 54.60 0.37340000 0.36226429 0.37451800 AVOID VERY HIGH 97
2026-06-16 08:15:50 NEARUSDT
2.3990		 AVOID 19
40%		 1.69% 49.46 2.3990 2.3355 2.4179 AVOID VERY HIGH 95
2026-06-16 08:15:48 TRXUSDT
0.31790000		 AVOID 0
35%		 -0.90% 30.00 0.31790000 0.31408520 0.31750450 AVOID VERY HIGH 96
2026-06-16 08:15:47 SUIUSDT
0.78320000		 AVOID 12
40%		 -1.92% 39.13 0.78320000 0.77380160 0.79251750 AVOID VERY HIGH 85
2026-06-16 08:15:45 AVAXUSDT
6.7970		 AVOID 0
40%		 0.53% 42.96 6.7970 6.7154 6.8396 AVOID VERY HIGH 95
2026-06-16 08:15:44 LINKUSDT
8.2070		 AVOID 13
40%		 0.39% 41.10 8.2070 8.1085 8.2963 AVOID VERY HIGH 95
2026-06-16 08:15:42 ADAUSDT
0.17640000		 AVOID 5
40%		 -2.11% 41.82 0.17640000 0.17428320 0.17810500 AVOID VERY HIGH 93
2026-06-16 08:15:41 DOGEUSDT
0.08706000		 AVOID 5
40%		 -1.64% 35.69 0.08706000 0.08601528 0.08780875 AVOID VERY HIGH 93
2026-06-16 08:15:39 XRPUSDT
1.2242		 AVOID 6
40%		 3.43% 44.36 1.2242 1.2095 1.2358 AVOID VERY HIGH 86
2026-06-16 08:15:38 SOLUSDT
73.6000		 AVOID 2
40%		 3.73% 45.21 73.6000 72.6228 74.0479 AVOID VERY HIGH 89
2026-06-16 08:15:36 BNBUSDT
613.64		 AVOID 6
40%		 -0.58% 42.16 613.64 606.28 614.91 AVOID VERY HIGH 87
2026-06-16 08:15:34 ETHUSDT
1762.36		 AVOID 4
40%		 2.58% 23.42 1762.36 1741.21 1789.85 AVOID VERY HIGH 74
2026-06-16 08:15:33 BTCUSDT
66020.01		 AVOID 13
40%		 0.51% 40.66 66020.01 65227.77 66130.94 AVOID VERY HIGH 75
2026-06-16 08:15:31 ZROUSDT
1.1310		 AVOID 51
68%		 5.81% 57.24 1.1310 1.0702 1.1452 1-3 HOURS HIGH 80
2026-06-16 08:15:29 XPLUSDT
0.09580000		 AVOID 35
50%		 7.04% 72.03 0.09580000 0.08908750 0.09701250 30-60 MINS HIGH 81
2026-06-16 08:15:28 INJUSDT
5.6430		 AVOID 51
68%		 7.20% 54.50 5.6430 5.4280 5.7014 1-3 HOURS HIGH 80
2026-06-16 08:15:26 ZECUSDT
525.98		 AVOID 38
59%		 7.85% 63.77 525.98 505.81 530.04 1-3 HOURS VERY HIGH 80
2026-06-16 08:15:25 AAVEUSDT
74.3200		 AVOID 3
35%		 7.84% 64.53 74.3200 72.1414 74.1176 30-60 MINS VERY HIGH 88

Recent Outcomes

Showing 1-12 of 12 outcomes
Checked Coin Window Outcome Entry Stop Target Checked Price Max Gain Max Drawdown
2026-06-14 23:40:03 WLDUSDT 1440m STOP_HIT 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50290000 2.17% -2.71%
2026-06-14 22:50:02 WLDUSDT 1440m TARGET_HIT 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.49780000 3.50% -2.67%
2026-06-14 05:40:03 WLDUSDT 360m OPEN 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50680000 2.17% -1.03%
2026-06-14 04:50:02 WLDUSDT 360m OPEN 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.50730000 2.21% -1.57%
2026-06-14 02:40:03 WLDUSDT 180m OPEN 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50130000 2.17% -1.03%
2026-06-14 01:50:02 WLDUSDT 180m OPEN 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.50970000 2.21% -1.57%
2026-06-14 00:40:02 WLDUSDT 60m OPEN 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50020000 0.16% -1.03%
2026-06-14 00:10:02 WLDUSDT 30m OPEN 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50140000 0.16% -0.26%
2026-06-13 23:50:03 WLDUSDT 10m ENTRY_NOT_REACHED 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50010000 % %
2026-06-13 23:50:02 WLDUSDT 60m OPEN 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.49930000 0.14% -1.57%
2026-06-13 23:20:02 WLDUSDT 30m OPEN 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.49730000 0.14% -1.17%
2026-06-13 23:00:04 WLDUSDT 10m OPEN 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.50020000 0.14% -0.58%

Recent Snapshots

Showing 8241-8260 of 8835 snapshots
Time Coin Price Gain RSI Liquidity Spread Bid/Ask Filters
2026-06-13 18:45:11 TRUMPUSDT 2.2180 6.94% 48.08 81 0.0451% 0.8671 Volume trend is fading
2026-06-13 18:45:10 FETUSDT 0.20690000 7.20% 60.53 89 0.0483% 1.1870
2026-06-13 18:45:10 ENAUSDT 0.08520000 7.17% 59.26 74 0.1173% 0.9191
2026-06-13 18:45:09 WLDUSDT 0.52360000 11.36% 69.33 98 0.0191% 1.8526
2026-06-13 18:45:08 UTKUSDT 0.00795000 16.23% 39.88 60 %
2026-06-13 18:45:07 TAOUSDT 265.70 23.79% 81.19 94 0.0377% 1.4606 RSI is overbought
2026-06-13 18:45:06 RIFUSDT 0.10190000 39.40% 67.25 48 0.1961% 0.2561 Order book ask pressure is heavy; Liquidity score is weak
2026-06-13 18:30:51 DASHUSDT 35.5100 0.23% 62.28 97 0.0282% 1.4261 Price is too close to resistance; Volatility too low
2026-06-13 18:30:49 ZECUSDT 417.69 -1.66% 59.82 75 0.0024% 0.5489 Price is too close to resistance; Order book ask pressure is heavy; Volatility too low
2026-06-13 18:30:47 INJUSDT 5.3320 0.70% 70.21 87 0.0188% 0.9596 Price is too close to resistance; Volatility too low
2026-06-13 18:30:46 ONDOUSDT 0.37320000 1.44% 64.52 97 0.0268% 1.9193 Volume trend is fading
2026-06-13 18:30:44 NEARUSDT 2.1350 2.15% 80.99 78 0.0468% 0.7339 RSI is overbought; Price is too close to resistance
2026-06-13 18:30:43 TRXUSDT 0.31760000 1.02% 72.22 94 0.0315% 1.3000 Price is too close to resistance; Volatility too low
2026-06-13 18:30:41 SUIUSDT 0.77300000 1.43% 57.20 79 0.0129% 0.6210 Volume trend is fading; Volatility too low
2026-06-13 18:30:40 AVAXUSDT 6.7540 1.49% 75.32 98 0.0148% 1.4937 Price is too close to resistance; Volatility too low
2026-06-13 18:30:38 LINKUSDT 8.0240 1.08% 70.79 72 0.0125% 0.3372 Price is too close to resistance; Order book ask pressure is heavy; Volatility too low
2026-06-13 18:30:37 ADAUSDT 0.17530000 1.27% 70.00 93 0.0571% 1.7323 Price is too close to resistance; Volatility too low
2026-06-13 18:30:35 DOGEUSDT 0.08864000 -1.13% 70.62 91 0.0113% 1.0750 Price is too close to resistance; Volatility too low
2026-06-13 18:30:34 XRPUSDT 1.1568 0.74% 70.71 85 0.0086% 0.8564 Price is too close to resistance; Volatility too low
2026-06-13 18:30:32 SOLUSDT 68.5400 0.53% 72.05 90 0.0146% 1.0755 Price is too close to resistance; Volatility too low

Signal Accuracy By Coin

Coin Alerts BUY Alerts Targets Stops Win Rate Avg Max Gain Avg Drawdown
WLDUSDT 263 12 1 1 50.0% 1.38% -1.38%
BNBUSDT 278 0 0 0 - - -
SOLUSDT 278 0 0 0 - - -
LINKUSDT 278 0 0 0 - - -
DOGEUSDT 278 0 0 0 - - -
ETHUSDT 278 0 0 0 - - -
BTCUSDT 278 0 0 0 - - -
ADAUSDT 278 0 0 0 - - -
XRPUSDT 278 0 0 0 - - -
AVAXUSDT 278 0 0 0 - - -
TRXUSDT 278 0 0 0 - - -
SUIUSDT 261 0 0 0 - - -
INJUSDT 252 0 0 0 - - -
DASHUSDT 252 0 0 0 - - -
NEARUSDT 252 0 0 0 - - -
ZECUSDT 252 0 0 0 - - -
ONDOUSDT 252 0 0 0 - - -
MEGAUSDT 135 0 0 0 - - -
TAOUSDT 119 0 0 0 - - -
FETUSDT 114 0 0 0 - - -

Filter Impact

Filter Reason Outcomes Targets Stops Not Entered Win Rate Expectancy
No filter impact data yet. Run scanner and outcome checks until filtered alerts have 1440m outcomes.
Use this to find filters that block setups which later perform well or expose filters that correctly catch losing conditions.

AI Review Performance

Bucket Outcomes Targets Stops Win Rate Expectancy Avg MFE Avg MAE
AI APPROVED 0 0 0 - - - -
AI REJECTED 0 0 0 - - - -
RULE ONLY 0 0 0 - - - -
AI FAILED OR UNKNOWN 2 1 1 50.0% -0.02R 1.12R -1.09R
AI guard uses 1440m outcomes over 45 days. It activates after 10 AI-approved outcomes below 0.00R expectancy.

AI Attribution Detail

Symbol Total Total Exp AI Approved AI Exp Rule Only Rule Exp AI Delta AI Rejected Rejected Exp
WLDUSDT 2 -0.02R 0 - 0 - - 0 -
Market Regime Total Total Exp AI Approved AI Exp Rule Only Rule Exp AI Delta AI Rejected Rejected Exp
BULLISH 2 -0.02R 0 - 0 - - 0 -
Session Hour Total Total Exp AI Approved AI Exp Rule Only Rule Exp AI Delta AI Rejected Rejected Exp
19 1 1.09R 0 - 0 - - 0 -
20 1 -1.13R 0 - 0 - - 0 -
Filter Reason Total Total Exp AI Approved AI Exp AI Rejected Rejected Exp Rule Only Rule Exp AI Delta
No AI attribution data by filter reason yet.
AI Reasoning Category Total Total Exp AI Approved Approved Exp AI Rejected Rejected Exp Unknown Unknown Exp
Poor Reward/Risk 2 -0.02R 0 - 0 - 2 -0.02R
Trend / Timeframe Alignment 2 -0.02R 0 - 0 - 2 -0.02R
Momentum / Volume Confirmation 2 -0.02R 0 - 0 - 2 -0.02R
AI Delta compares AI-approved expectancy against rule-only expectancy for the same group or filter reason. Reasoning categories classify stored AI-reviewed reasoning text, so categories can overlap when one review mentions several issues.

Session Learning

Hour Outcomes Targets Stops Stop Rate Expectancy Avg MFE Avg MAE
19:00 1 1 0 0.0% 1.09R 1.27R -0.97R
20:00 1 0 1 100.0% -1.13R 0.97R -1.22R
00:00 0 0 0 - - - -
01:00 0 0 0 - - - -
02:00 0 0 0 - - - -
03:00 0 0 0 - - - -
04:00 0 0 0 - - - -
05:00 0 0 0 - - - -
Session filter activates when the current hour has enough outcomes and weak expectancy or high stop rate.