AI Crypto Alerts

Latest Binance scans, GPT analysis, liquidity checks, outcomes, and notification state.

ICPUSDT Trend Graph

96 points from Binance 15m candles
Close graph
Latest 2.3990
Change -4.16%
High 2.5900
Low 2.3990
Jun 14 23:00 to Jun 15 22:45Entry 2.5820Stop 2.5000Target 2.5741

Coin Summary

  • Alerts: 54, BUY signals: 0
  • Targets: 0, stops: 0
  • Win rate: -
  • Avg max gain: -, avg drawdown: -

Open Trade

No open auto trade for this coin.

Latest Alerts

  • 2026-06-15 14:30:40 · AVOID · score 26
    Invalid risk/reward geometry. Quality filters: Price is too close to resistance; Crypto news sentiment is negative; Trading session is low quality. Original AI signal was BUY. Momentum, trend, and risk/reward are aligned enough for a confirmation-based entry. Current price: 2.5820.
  • 2026-06-15 10:30:29 · AVOID · score 31
    Current risk/reward is weak compared with the recent range. Current price: 2.5270.
  • 2026-06-15 10:15:25 · AVOID · score 42
    Reward/risk ratio is below 1.3. The setup is close, but it needs a support retest or volume confirmation. Current price: 2.5330.
  • 2026-06-15 10:00:29 · AVOID · score 42
    Reward/risk ratio is below 1.3. The setup is close, but it needs a support retest or volume confirmation. Current price: 2.5380.
  • 2026-06-15 09:45:23 · AVOID · score 44
    Quality filters: Volume trend is fading; Crypto news sentiment is negative; Trading session is low quality. Original AI signal was BUY. Momentum, trend, and risk/reward are aligned enough for a confirmation-based entry. Current price: 2.5540.

Latest Snapshots

  • 2026-06-15 14:30:40 · price 2.5820 · gain 5.35%
    RSI 65.17 · liquidity 95 · filters Price is too close to resistance; Crypto news sentiment is negative; Trading session is low quality
  • 2026-06-15 14:30:26 · price 2.5820 · gain 5.35%
    RSI 65.17 · liquidity 95 · filters Price is too close to resistance
  • 2026-06-15 10:30:29 · price 2.5270 · gain 5.07%
    RSI 35.94 · liquidity 95 · filters Volume trend is fading; Crypto news sentiment is negative
  • 2026-06-15 10:30:17 · price 2.5300 · gain 5.07%
    RSI 37.01 · liquidity 95 · filters Volume trend is fading
  • 2026-06-15 10:15:25 · price 2.5330 · gain 5.50%
    RSI 47.59 · liquidity 95 · filters Volume trend is fading; Crypto news sentiment is negative

Latest Outcomes

No outcomes yet.
Total alerts 5268
Buy signals 2
Avg confidence 44.3%
Avg score 26.4
Snapshots 24h 3584
Target hits 30d 1
Stop hits 30d 1
Latest backtest 53.09%
Backtest expectancy -0.08R PF 0.75
Walk-forward 0.0% MONTHLY -0.14R avg
Auto mode TEST
Spot USDT 10,000.00 Free 10,000.00, locked 0.00
Spot estimate 342,717.67 SPOT account, 446 assets
Open auto trades 0 0 pending
Today profits 0.00 0 closed today
Today losses 0.00 Gross closed-trade losses
Today auto PnL 0.00
Avg entry slip - Fill -, missed 0
Entry fill wait - 0 pending, partial exits -
Daily target 1%

Auto Trader Safety Switch

Runtime is ON. default is enabled.

Daily Guardrails

  • Status: Trading allowed · ok
  • Today PnL: 0.00 USDT
  • Target remaining: 100.00 of 100.00 USDT
  • Max loss remaining: 75.00 of 75.00 USDT
  • Open exposure: 0.00 of 3,000.00 USDT
  • Open risk: 0.00 of 200.00 USDT
  • Entries today: 0 of 2
  • Loss streak: 0 of 3
  • Effective risk/trade: 0.25%
  • Theme cap: 1 open position(s) per theme
  • Emergency failures 60m: entry 0, exit 0, monitor 0

Configuration Thresholds

Category Setting Env Key Current Status Guidance
Scanner Minimum notify score SCANNER_MIN_NOTIFY_SCORE 80 WARN Keep 85-95 while validating so only the strongest setups reach notifications and auto-trading.
Quality Minimum reward/risk MIN_REWARD_RISK_RATIO 1.30 WARN 1.5R+ keeps average winners large enough to survive fees, slippage, and false positives.
Quality Minimum coin ATR% MIN_ATR_PERCENT_FOR_TRADE 0.80% WARN Avoid dead coins; 1.0%-1.5% keeps candidates volatile enough for short-term momentum.
Risk Max stop-loss distance MAX_STOP_LOSS_PERCENT 3.50% WARN 3% or less avoids setups where one stop can dominate several winners.
Quality Max RSI for BUY MAX_RSI_FOR_BUY 76.0 WARN 70 or lower helps avoid chasing late momentum spikes.
Quality Max 24h gain for BUY MAX_GAIN_FOR_BUY 38.0% WARN 30% or lower reduces entries after most of the move may already be gone.
Liquidity Max scanner spread MAX_SPREAD_PERCENT 0.500% PASS Wide spreads damage expectancy before the trade even starts.
Liquidity Minimum liquidity score MIN_LIQUIDITY_SCORE 55 PASS 55+ keeps the scanner biased toward tradable books.
Regime Market breadth filter MARKET_BREADTH_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled so weak broad-market participation can block ordinary alt setups.
Regime BTC correlation filter CORRELATION_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled to avoid highly correlated alt exposure during weak BTC regimes.
Regime BTC dominance filter BTC_DOMINANCE_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled because rising BTC dominance can make alt momentum fragile.
Regime BTC volatility filter BTC_VOLATILITY_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled to avoid ordinary alt entries during BTC volatility extremes.
Regime Derivatives pressure filter DERIVATIVES_PRESSURE_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled to block ordinary alt entries when BTC futures funding/open interest are overheated or stressed.
Regime Stablecoin flow filter STABLECOIN_FLOW_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled to avoid ordinary alt entries when major stablecoin market cap is contracting.
Regime News sentiment filter NEWS_SENTIMENT_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled to block fresh headline-risk environments.
Regime Trading session filter SESSION_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled to focus entries around London and New York liquidity windows.
Auto Trade Mode AUTO_TRADE_MODE TEST PASS Use paper or test until validation, execution quality, and outcomes are consistently positive.
Auto Trade Risk per trade AUTO_TRADE_RISK_PER_TRADE_PERCENT 0.25% PASS 0.5%-1.0% is the safer range for a 1000 USDT test account while validation is still building.
Auto Trade Dynamic position tiers AUTO_TRADE_DYNAMIC_POSITION_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled so top-score setups can use larger caps while risk checks remain active.
Auto Trade Daily max loss AUTO_TRADE_DAILY_MAX_LOSS_PERCENT 0.75% PASS Keep daily loss near 1% or less until live expectancy is proven.
Portfolio Max open positions AUTO_TRADE_MAX_OPEN_POSITIONS 2 PASS One or two concurrent positions keeps correlated losses contained.
Portfolio Max total exposure AUTO_TRADE_MAX_TOTAL_EXPOSURE_PERCENT 30.0% PASS 30% or less prevents the bot from overcommitting during noisy conditions.
Auto Trade Minimum auto-trade score AUTO_TRADE_MIN_SCORE 82 WARN 90+ is recommended while validation gates and outcome history are still building.
Validation Require positive backtest AUTO_TRADE_REQUIRE_POSITIVE_BACKTEST false WARN Keep enabled so auto-trading blocks symbols without enough historical support.
Validation Require positive walk-forward AUTO_TRADE_REQUIRE_POSITIVE_WALK_FORWARD false WARN Keep enabled because out-of-sample windows matter more than a single backtest.
Validation Max walk-forward age AUTO_TRADE_MAX_WALK_FORWARD_AGE_DAYS 14d PASS Refresh validation at least every two weeks, faster during regime changes.

Editable Guardrails

Enable DASHBOARD_AUTH_ENABLED=true before changing settings from the dashboard. This keeps config writes behind password authentication and CSRF protection.

Job Health

Job Health Status Last Run Age Max Age Last Message
Snapshot Collector HEALTHY OK 2026-06-15 22:45:18 4.7m 45m Snapshots collected.
Scanner HEALTHY OK 2026-06-15 22:45:52 4.1m 45m Scan completed.
Outcome Checker HEALTHY OK 2026-06-15 22:40:01 9.9m 30m Outcome check completed.
Auto Trader HEALTHY OK 2026-06-15 22:49:04 0.9m 15m No eligible alerts for autotrading.
Validator HEALTHY OK 2026-06-15 21:01:01 108.9m 720m Validation batch completed.

Validation Gates

Coin Status Backtest BT Setups BT Exp BT DD BT Losses Walk-forward WF Windows WF Pass WF Exp WF Age
BTCUSDT PASS PASS 0 - - 0 PASS 1 0.0% - 0.0d
ETHUSDT PASS PASS 5 -0.53R 2.64R 5 PASS 1 0.0% -0.48R 0.0d
BNBUSDT PASS PASS 2 -0.34R 0.79R 1 PASS 1 0.0% -0.75R 0.0d
SOLUSDT PASS PASS 19 -0.09R 1.74R 12 PASS 1 0.0% -0.14R 0.0d
XRPUSDT PASS PASS 7 0.02R 0.89R 1 PASS 1 0.0% -0.31R 0.0d
DOGEUSDT PASS PASS 9 -0.32R 2.88R 9 PASS 1 0.0% -0.38R 0.0d
ADAUSDT PASS PASS 31 0.00R 1.89R 14 PASS 1 0.0% -0.09R 0.0d
LINKUSDT PASS PASS 23 -0.19R 4.45R 5 PASS 1 0.0% -0.28R 0.0d
AVAXUSDT PASS PASS 13 -0.13R 1.73R 4 PASS 1 0.0% -0.09R 0.0d
SUIUSDT PASS PASS 25 -0.33R 7.99R 6 PASS 1 0.0% -0.31R 0.0d
TRXUSDT PASS PASS 7 -0.29R 2.00R 4 PASS 1 0.0% -0.13R 0.0d
NEARUSDT PASS PASS 87 0.00R 23.34R 10 PASS 1 100.0% 0.11R 0.0d
ONDOUSDT PASS PASS 77 -0.01R 10.16R 7 PASS 1 0.0% -0.16R 0.0d
INJUSDT PASS PASS 33 0.01R 4.46R 5 PASS 1 100.0% 0.08R 0.0d
WLDUSDT PASS PASS 90 0.20R 10.58R 10 PASS 1 100.0% 0.04R 0.0d
ZECUSDT PASS PASS 58 -0.07R 15.91R 13 PASS 1 0.0% -0.08R 0.0d
DASHUSDT PASS PASS 81 -0.08R 11.33R 13 PASS 1 0.0% -0.14R 0.0d
These are the same latest-symbol validation gates used before auto-trading opens a candidate.

Open Position Risk

Coin Mode Entry Current Stop Target Live PnL Risk To Stop To Target
No open auto trades.

Execution Quality

Time Coin Mode Status Planned Entry Actual Entry Slippage Fill Wait Pending Expiry Partial Exit Quote R Reason
2026-06-13 19:46:04 WLDUSDT TEST SKIPPED 0.50240000 0.50240000 0.000% 0.0m - - 0.00 - reward/risk below minimum at current price
Fill rate excludes still-pending entries and compares filled planned entries against missed/expired paper limit entries over the last 30 days.

Recent Auto Trades

Opened Coin Mode Status Entry Stop Target Quote PnL Reason
2026-06-13 19:46:04 WLDUSDT TEST SKIPPED 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.00 - reward/risk below minimum at current price

Recent Alerts

Reset
Showing 101-120 of 5268 alerts
Time Coin Signal Score Gain RSI Entry Stop Target Duration Risk Liquidity Reasoning
2026-06-16 00:45:37 BTCUSDT
66447.99		 AVOID 12
40%		 1.74% 32.50 66447.99 65650.61 66822.21 AVOID VERY HIGH 58
2026-06-16 00:45:35 DASHUSDT
38.5300		 AVOID 19
40%		 5.45% 31.88 38.5300 38.0676 39.1311 AVOID VERY HIGH 83
2026-06-16 00:45:34 ETHUSDT
1816.11		 AVOID 15
40%		 5.67% 38.57 1816.11 1794.32 1833.65 AVOID VERY HIGH 74
2026-06-16 00:45:32 SOLUSDT
74.6500		 AVOID 25
40%		 6.21% 38.05 74.6500 73.7542 75.4310 AVOID VERY HIGH 98
2026-06-16 00:45:31 UNIUSDT
2.7470		 AVOID 30
50%		 6.60% 62.59 2.7470 2.6655 2.8529 1-3 HOURS VERY HIGH 91
2026-06-16 00:45:29 XRPUSDT
1.2520		 AVOID 34
50%		 7.18% 31.69 1.2520 1.2370 1.2715 30-60 MINS HIGH 79
2026-06-16 00:45:28 INJUSDT
5.6740		 AVOID 57
68%		 8.64% 50.59 5.6740 5.5404 5.7103 1-3 HOURS HIGH 85
2026-06-16 00:45:26 BCHUSDT
226.10		 AVOID 28
50%		 8.86% 55.00 226.10 220.15 226.36 1-3 HOURS VERY HIGH 71
2026-06-16 00:45:25 AAVEUSDT
74.2500		 AVOID 24
40%		 9.58% 26.30 74.2500 73.3590 75.4083 AVOID VERY HIGH 96
2026-06-16 00:45:23 NEARUSDT
2.4500		 WAIT 60
65%		 11.12% 37.72 2.4500 2.4206 2.4882 30-60 MINS HIGH 95
2026-06-16 00:45:22 ZECUSDT
521.10		 AVOID 37
40%		 14.74% 36.00 521.10 514.34 529.88 AVOID VERY HIGH 83
2026-06-16 00:45:20 WLDUSDT
0.59800000		 AVOID 44
59%		 14.90% 66.44 0.59800000 0.56738750 0.59809450 1-3 HOURS VERY HIGH 85
2026-06-16 00:45:19 XLMUSDT
0.21830000		 WAIT 52
65%		 16.37% 44.92 0.21830000 0.21433143 0.22345914 30-60 MINS HIGH 86
2026-06-16 00:45:16 ZROUSDT
1.1240		 AVOID 40
50%		 17.94% 54.88 1.1240 1.0982 1.1383 30-60 MINS HIGH 81
2026-06-16 00:45:14 JTOUSDT
0.74750000		 AVOID 42
50%		 33.64% 50.50 0.74750000 0.72722857 0.77385286 30-60 MINS HIGH 97
2026-06-16 00:30:51 ONDOUSDT
0.37110000		 AVOID 27
40%		 3.71% 20.57 0.37110000 0.36664680 0.37688916 AVOID VERY HIGH 87
2026-06-16 00:30:50 TRXUSDT
0.32000000		 AVOID 0
35%		 0.22% 75.00 0.32000000 0.31616000 0.31849950 10-30 MINS ONLY VERY HIGH 87
2026-06-16 00:30:48 SUIUSDT
0.79860000		 AVOID 27
40%		 3.98% 28.48 0.79860000 0.78901680 0.81105816 AVOID VERY HIGH 87
2026-06-16 00:30:47 AVAXUSDT
6.8650		 AVOID 27
40%		 3.68% 27.95 6.8650 6.7826 6.9721 AVOID VERY HIGH 93
2026-06-16 00:30:45 LINKUSDT
8.3510		 AVOID 27
40%		 4.11% 31.03 8.3510 8.2508 8.4813 AVOID VERY HIGH 94

Recent Outcomes

Showing 1-12 of 12 outcomes
Checked Coin Window Outcome Entry Stop Target Checked Price Max Gain Max Drawdown
2026-06-14 23:40:03 WLDUSDT 1440m STOP_HIT 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50290000 2.17% -2.71%
2026-06-14 22:50:02 WLDUSDT 1440m TARGET_HIT 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.49780000 3.50% -2.67%
2026-06-14 05:40:03 WLDUSDT 360m OPEN 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50680000 2.17% -1.03%
2026-06-14 04:50:02 WLDUSDT 360m OPEN 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.50730000 2.21% -1.57%
2026-06-14 02:40:03 WLDUSDT 180m OPEN 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50130000 2.17% -1.03%
2026-06-14 01:50:02 WLDUSDT 180m OPEN 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.50970000 2.21% -1.57%
2026-06-14 00:40:02 WLDUSDT 60m OPEN 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50020000 0.16% -1.03%
2026-06-14 00:10:02 WLDUSDT 30m OPEN 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50140000 0.16% -0.26%
2026-06-13 23:50:03 WLDUSDT 10m ENTRY_NOT_REACHED 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50010000 % %
2026-06-13 23:50:02 WLDUSDT 60m OPEN 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.49930000 0.14% -1.57%
2026-06-13 23:20:02 WLDUSDT 30m OPEN 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.49730000 0.14% -1.17%
2026-06-13 23:00:04 WLDUSDT 10m OPEN 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.50020000 0.14% -0.58%

Recent Snapshots

Showing 261-280 of 7906 snapshots
Time Coin Price Gain RSI Liquidity Spread Bid/Ask Filters
2026-06-16 00:15:21 NIGHTUSDT 0.03378000 8.69% 52.97 83 0.0296% 0.8509 Volume trend is fading; Volatility too low
2026-06-16 00:15:20 DASHUSDT 38.6000 9.07% 32.69 84 0.0259% 0.8998 Volume trend is fading; Volatility too low
2026-06-16 00:15:20 ZROUSDT 1.1210 20.80% 54.02 80 0.0892% 1.0417 Volume trend is fading; Trading session is low quality
2026-06-16 00:15:20 ETHUSDT 1820.15 8.79% 41.61 85 0.0005% 1.0070 Volume trend is fading; Volatility too low
2026-06-16 00:15:19 ZECUSDT 520.74 21.85% 40.58 85 0.0019% 1.0628 Trading session is low quality
2026-06-16 00:15:19 SOLUSDT 74.9700 10.17% 44.06 98 0.0133% 1.5402 Volume trend is fading; Volatility too low
2026-06-16 00:15:18 XRPUSDT 1.2583 10.25% 32.44 81 0.0079% 0.6939 Order book ask pressure is heavy; Volatility too low
2026-06-16 00:15:17 BABYUSDT 0.01888000 12.04% 53.38 79 0.0530% 0.8125 Volume trend is fading
2026-06-16 00:15:17 XLMUSDT 0.22230000 22.00% 38.72 87 0.0450% 1.1152 Volume trend is fading; Trading session is low quality
2026-06-16 00:15:17 BCHUSDT 225.20 11.82% 48.21 72 0.0444% 0.5858 Order book ask pressure is heavy; Volatility too low
2026-06-16 00:15:16 JTOUSDT 0.74870000 37.36% 42.28 92 0.0668% 1.4253 Volume trend is fading; Trading session is low quality
2026-06-16 00:15:16 BONKUSDT 0.00000493 12.05% 33.33 76 0.2026% 1.4748
2026-06-16 00:15:15 AAVEUSDT 74.3400 12.48% 24.84 97 0.0135% 1.8189 Volume trend is fading; Volatility too low
2026-06-16 00:15:14 INJUSDT 5.7080 13.74% 52.74 91 0.0175% 1.1253 Volume trend is fading; Price is too close to resistance
2026-06-16 00:15:13 UTKUSDT 0.00795000 16.23% 39.88 60 %
2026-06-16 00:15:13 SPCXBUSDT 192.50 14.61% 57.61 79 0.0882% 1.1028 Volume trend is fading
2026-06-16 00:15:12 NEARUSDT 2.4670 16.86% 42.57 95 0.0405% 3.9305
2026-06-16 00:15:11 WLDUSDT 0.60040000 19.62% 74.39 90 0.0167% 1.0765 Volume trend is fading; Price is too close to resistance
2026-06-16 00:15:10 ZECUSDT 520.59 21.87% 40.41 82 0.0019% 0.9553
2026-06-16 00:15:10 ZROUSDT 1.1210 20.93% 54.02 80 0.0892% 1.0443 Volume trend is fading

Signal Accuracy By Coin

Coin Alerts BUY Alerts Targets Stops Win Rate Avg Max Gain Avg Drawdown
WLDUSDT 237 12 1 1 50.0% 1.38% -1.38%
BNBUSDT 252 0 0 0 - - -
SOLUSDT 252 0 0 0 - - -
LINKUSDT 252 0 0 0 - - -
DOGEUSDT 252 0 0 0 - - -
ETHUSDT 252 0 0 0 - - -
BTCUSDT 252 0 0 0 - - -
ADAUSDT 252 0 0 0 - - -
XRPUSDT 252 0 0 0 - - -
AVAXUSDT 252 0 0 0 - - -
TRXUSDT 252 0 0 0 - - -
SUIUSDT 235 0 0 0 - - -
INJUSDT 226 0 0 0 - - -
DASHUSDT 226 0 0 0 - - -
NEARUSDT 226 0 0 0 - - -
ZECUSDT 226 0 0 0 - - -
ONDOUSDT 226 0 0 0 - - -
MEGAUSDT 135 0 0 0 - - -
TAOUSDT 119 0 0 0 - - -
FETUSDT 114 0 0 0 - - -

Filter Impact

Filter Reason Outcomes Targets Stops Not Entered Win Rate Expectancy
No filter impact data yet. Run scanner and outcome checks until filtered alerts have 1440m outcomes.
Use this to find filters that block setups which later perform well or expose filters that correctly catch losing conditions.

AI Review Performance

Bucket Outcomes Targets Stops Win Rate Expectancy Avg MFE Avg MAE
AI APPROVED 0 0 0 - - - -
AI REJECTED 0 0 0 - - - -
RULE ONLY 0 0 0 - - - -
AI FAILED OR UNKNOWN 2 1 1 50.0% -0.02R 1.12R -1.09R
AI guard uses 1440m outcomes over 45 days. It activates after 10 AI-approved outcomes below 0.00R expectancy.

AI Attribution Detail

Symbol Total Total Exp AI Approved AI Exp Rule Only Rule Exp AI Delta AI Rejected Rejected Exp
WLDUSDT 2 -0.02R 0 - 0 - - 0 -
Market Regime Total Total Exp AI Approved AI Exp Rule Only Rule Exp AI Delta AI Rejected Rejected Exp
BULLISH 2 -0.02R 0 - 0 - - 0 -
Session Hour Total Total Exp AI Approved AI Exp Rule Only Rule Exp AI Delta AI Rejected Rejected Exp
19 1 1.09R 0 - 0 - - 0 -
20 1 -1.13R 0 - 0 - - 0 -
Filter Reason Total Total Exp AI Approved AI Exp AI Rejected Rejected Exp Rule Only Rule Exp AI Delta
No AI attribution data by filter reason yet.
AI Reasoning Category Total Total Exp AI Approved Approved Exp AI Rejected Rejected Exp Unknown Unknown Exp
Poor Reward/Risk 2 -0.02R 0 - 0 - 2 -0.02R
Trend / Timeframe Alignment 2 -0.02R 0 - 0 - 2 -0.02R
Momentum / Volume Confirmation 2 -0.02R 0 - 0 - 2 -0.02R
AI Delta compares AI-approved expectancy against rule-only expectancy for the same group or filter reason. Reasoning categories classify stored AI-reviewed reasoning text, so categories can overlap when one review mentions several issues.

Session Learning

Hour Outcomes Targets Stops Stop Rate Expectancy Avg MFE Avg MAE
19:00 1 1 0 0.0% 1.09R 1.27R -0.97R
20:00 1 0 1 100.0% -1.13R 0.97R -1.22R
00:00 0 0 0 - - - -
01:00 0 0 0 - - - -
02:00 0 0 0 - - - -
03:00 0 0 0 - - - -
04:00 0 0 0 - - - -
05:00 0 0 0 - - - -
Session filter activates when the current hour has enough outcomes and weak expectancy or high stop rate.