AI Crypto Alerts

Latest Binance scans, GPT analysis, liquidity checks, outcomes, and notification state.
Total alerts 7041
Buy signals 4
Avg confidence 44.0%
Avg score 24.8
Snapshots 24h 1233
Target hits 30d 3
Stop hits 30d 5
Latest backtest 69.77%
Backtest expectancy -0.02R PF 0.90
Walk-forward 0.0% MONTHLY -0.17R avg
Auto mode TEST
Spot USDT 10,000.00 Free 10,000.00, locked 0.00
Spot estimate 330,200.19 SPOT account, 446 assets
Open auto trades 0 0 pending
Today profits 0.21 1 closed today
Today losses 0.00 Gross closed-trade losses
Today auto PnL 0.21
Avg entry slip - Fill -, missed 0
Entry fill wait - 0 pending, partial exits -
Daily target 1%

Auto Trader Safety Switch

Runtime is ON. default is enabled.

Daily Guardrails

  • Status: Trading allowed ยท ok
  • Today PnL: 0.21 USDT
  • Target remaining: 99.79 of 100.00 USDT
  • Max loss remaining: 75.21 of 75.00 USDT
  • Open exposure: 0.00 of 3,000.00 USDT
  • Open risk: 0.00 of 200.00 USDT
  • Entries today: 1 of 2
  • Loss streak: 0 of 3
  • Effective risk/trade: 0.25%
  • Theme cap: 1 open position(s) per theme
  • Emergency failures 60m: entry 0, exit 0, monitor 0

Configuration Thresholds

Category Setting Env Key Current Status Guidance
Scanner Minimum notify score SCANNER_MIN_NOTIFY_SCORE 70 WARN Keep 85-95 while validating so only the strongest setups reach notifications and auto-trading.
Quality Minimum reward/risk MIN_REWARD_RISK_RATIO 1.30 WARN 1.5R+ keeps average winners large enough to survive fees, slippage, and false positives.
Quality Minimum coin ATR% MIN_ATR_PERCENT_FOR_TRADE 0.40% WARN Avoid dead coins; 1.0%-1.5% keeps candidates volatile enough for short-term momentum.
Risk Max stop-loss distance MAX_STOP_LOSS_PERCENT 3.50% WARN 3% or less avoids setups where one stop can dominate several winners.
Quality Max RSI for BUY MAX_RSI_FOR_BUY 76.0 WARN 70 or lower helps avoid chasing late momentum spikes.
Quality Max 24h gain for BUY MAX_GAIN_FOR_BUY 38.0% WARN 30% or lower reduces entries after most of the move may already be gone.
Liquidity Max scanner spread MAX_SPREAD_PERCENT 0.500% PASS Wide spreads damage expectancy before the trade even starts.
Liquidity Minimum liquidity score MIN_LIQUIDITY_SCORE 55 PASS 55+ keeps the scanner biased toward tradable books.
Regime Market breadth filter MARKET_BREADTH_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled so weak broad-market participation can block ordinary alt setups.
Regime BTC correlation filter CORRELATION_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled to avoid highly correlated alt exposure during weak BTC regimes.
Regime BTC dominance filter BTC_DOMINANCE_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled because rising BTC dominance can make alt momentum fragile.
Regime BTC volatility filter BTC_VOLATILITY_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled to avoid ordinary alt entries during BTC volatility extremes.
Regime Derivatives pressure filter DERIVATIVES_PRESSURE_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled to block ordinary alt entries when BTC futures funding/open interest are overheated or stressed.
Regime Stablecoin flow filter STABLECOIN_FLOW_FILTER_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled to avoid ordinary alt entries when major stablecoin market cap is contracting.
Regime News sentiment filter NEWS_SENTIMENT_FILTER_ENABLED false WARN Keep enabled to block fresh headline-risk environments.
Regime Trading session filter SESSION_FILTER_ENABLED false WARN Keep enabled to focus entries around London and New York liquidity windows.
Auto Trade Mode AUTO_TRADE_MODE TEST PASS Use paper or test until validation, execution quality, and outcomes are consistently positive.
Auto Trade Risk per trade AUTO_TRADE_RISK_PER_TRADE_PERCENT 0.25% PASS 0.5%-1.0% is the safer range for a 1000 USDT test account while validation is still building.
Auto Trade Dynamic position tiers AUTO_TRADE_DYNAMIC_POSITION_ENABLED true PASS Keep enabled so top-score setups can use larger caps while risk checks remain active.
Auto Trade Daily max loss AUTO_TRADE_DAILY_MAX_LOSS_PERCENT 0.75% PASS Keep daily loss near 1% or less until live expectancy is proven.
Portfolio Max open positions AUTO_TRADE_MAX_OPEN_POSITIONS 2 PASS One or two concurrent positions keeps correlated losses contained.
Portfolio Max total exposure AUTO_TRADE_MAX_TOTAL_EXPOSURE_PERCENT 30.0% PASS 30% or less prevents the bot from overcommitting during noisy conditions.
Auto Trade Minimum auto-trade score AUTO_TRADE_MIN_SCORE 82 WARN 90+ is recommended while validation gates and outcome history are still building.
Validation Require positive backtest AUTO_TRADE_REQUIRE_POSITIVE_BACKTEST false WARN Keep enabled so auto-trading blocks symbols without enough historical support.
Validation Require positive walk-forward AUTO_TRADE_REQUIRE_POSITIVE_WALK_FORWARD false WARN Keep enabled because out-of-sample windows matter more than a single backtest.
Validation Max walk-forward age AUTO_TRADE_MAX_WALK_FORWARD_AGE_DAYS 14d PASS Refresh validation at least every two weeks, faster during regime changes.

Editable Guardrails

Enable DASHBOARD_AUTH_ENABLED=true before changing settings from the dashboard. This keeps config writes behind password authentication and CSRF protection.

Job Health

Job Health Status Last Run Age Max Age Last Message
Snapshot Collector STALE OK 2026-06-16 07:45:18 3,478.0m 45m Snapshots collected.
Scanner STALE OK 2026-06-16 07:45:58 3,477.3m 45m Scan completed.
Outcome Checker STALE OK 2026-06-16 07:50:02 3,473.3m 30m Outcome check completed.
Auto Trader STALE OK 2026-06-16 07:50:06 3,473.2m 15m No eligible alerts for autotrading.
Validator STALE OK 2026-06-16 03:00:52 3,762.4m 720m Validation batch completed.

Validation Gates

Coin Status Backtest BT Setups BT Exp BT DD BT Losses Walk-forward WF Windows WF Pass WF Exp WF Age
BTCUSDT PASS PASS 0 - - 0 PASS 1 0.0% - 0.0d
ETHUSDT PASS PASS 7 -0.59R 4.16R 7 PASS 1 0.0% -0.58R 0.0d
BNBUSDT PASS PASS 1 -0.79R 0.79R 1 PASS 1 0.0% -0.75R 0.0d
SOLUSDT PASS PASS 19 -0.14R 2.69R 12 PASS 1 0.0% -0.19R 0.0d
XRPUSDT PASS PASS 6 -1.11R 6.64R 6 PASS 1 0.0% -0.57R 0.0d
DOGEUSDT PASS PASS 9 -0.32R 2.88R 9 PASS 1 0.0% -0.38R 0.0d
ADAUSDT PASS PASS 27 -0.27R 8.04R 19 PASS 1 0.0% -0.21R 0.0d
LINKUSDT PASS PASS 21 -0.31R 6.51R 7 PASS 1 0.0% -0.34R 0.0d
AVAXUSDT PASS PASS 17 -0.38R 6.53R 5 PASS 1 0.0% -0.32R 0.0d
SUIUSDT PASS PASS 22 -0.30R 6.46R 6 PASS 1 0.0% -0.35R 0.0d
TRXUSDT PASS PASS 8 -0.20R 1.58R 3 PASS 1 0.0% -0.11R 0.0d
NEARUSDT PASS PASS 55 -0.30R 19.26R 11 PASS 1 100.0% 0.04R 0.0d
ONDOUSDT PASS PASS 48 -0.12R 6.73R 8 PASS 1 0.0% -0.17R 0.0d
INJUSDT PASS PASS 38 -0.15R 8.54R 5 PASS 1 0.0% -0.01R 0.0d
WLDUSDT PASS PASS 95 0.18R 7.26R 7 PASS 1 100.0% 0.04R 0.0d
ZECUSDT PASS PASS 44 -0.48R 21.16R 16 PASS 1 0.0% -0.19R 0.0d
DASHUSDT PASS PASS 43 -0.02R 6.65R 6 PASS 1 0.0% -0.17R 0.0d
These are the same latest-symbol validation gates used before auto-trading opens a candidate.

Open Position Risk

Coin Mode Entry Current Stop Target Live PnL Risk To Stop To Target
No open auto trades.

Execution Quality

Time Coin Mode Status Planned Entry Actual Entry Slippage Fill Wait Pending Expiry Partial Exit Quote R Reason
2026-06-18 15:16:05 MEGAUSDT TEST CLOSED 0.06452000 0.06446000 -0.093% 0.0m - 0.06635000 / 0.15 USDT 10.00 1.00R STOP_LOSS
2026-06-13 19:46:04 WLDUSDT TEST SKIPPED 0.50240000 0.50240000 0.000% 0.0m - - 0.00 - reward/risk below minimum at current price
2026-06-13 19:46:04 WLDUSDT TEST SKIPPED 0.50240000 0.50240000 0.000% 0.0m - - 0.00 - reward/risk below minimum at current price
2026-06-13 19:46:04 WLDUSDT TEST SKIPPED 0.50240000 0.50240000 0.000% 0.0m - - 0.00 - reward/risk below minimum at current price
Fill rate excludes still-pending entries and compares filled planned entries against missed/expired paper limit entries over the last 30 days.

Recent Auto Trades

Opened Coin Mode Status Entry Stop Target Quote PnL Reason
2026-06-18 15:16:05 MEGAUSDT TEST CLOSED 0.06446000 0.06548686 0.06848429 10.00 0.21 Binance signed test order accepted for exploratory setup.
2026-06-13 19:46:04 WLDUSDT TEST SKIPPED 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.00 - reward/risk below minimum at current price
2026-06-13 19:46:04 WLDUSDT TEST SKIPPED 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.00 - reward/risk below minimum at current price
2026-06-13 19:46:04 WLDUSDT TEST SKIPPED 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.00 - reward/risk below minimum at current price

Recent Alerts

Reset
Showing 5481-5500 of 7041 alerts
Time Coin Signal Score Gain RSI Entry Stop Target Duration Risk Liquidity Reasoning
2026-06-14 06:45:19 FETUSDT
0.21230000		 AVOID 59
62%		 15.01% 64.96 0.21230000 0.20661786 0.21243250 1-3 HOURS HIGH 83
2026-06-14 06:45:17 MEGAUSDT
0.06110000		 AVOID 40
50%		 19.39% 34.37 0.06110000 0.05850286 0.06421657 30-60 MINS HIGH 79
2026-06-14 06:45:16 TAOUSDT
273.20		 AVOID 37
40%		 25.91% 72.04 273.20 260.37 275.42 AVOID VERY HIGH 91
2026-06-14 06:45:14 RIFUSDT
0.10850000		 AVOID 30
40%		 35.90% 29.47 0.10850000 0.10288571 0.11523714 AVOID VERY HIGH 89
2026-06-14 06:30:49 DASHUSDT
36.7200		 AVOID 4
35%		 6.53% 79.38 36.7200 35.2566 36.5762 10-30 MINS ONLY VERY HIGH 87
2026-06-14 06:30:47 ZECUSDT
424.40		 AVOID 34
50%		 2.21% 65.79 424.40 417.66 424.56 30-60 MINS HIGH 88
2026-06-14 06:30:46 INJUSDT
5.2200		 AVOID 27
40%		 1.84% 34.69 5.2200 5.1574 5.2725 AVOID VERY HIGH 96
2026-06-14 06:30:44 ONDOUSDT
0.36240000		 AVOID 24
40%		 2.00% 40.91 0.36240000 0.35805120 0.36635900 AVOID VERY HIGH 97
2026-06-14 06:30:43 TRXUSDT
0.31570000		 AVOID 24
40%		 0.16% 12.50 0.31570000 0.31191160 0.31571350 AVOID VERY HIGH 92
2026-06-14 06:30:41 SUIUSDT
0.76840000		 AVOID 15
35%		 2.35% 55.47 0.76840000 0.75917920 0.76684650 30-60 MINS VERY HIGH 94
2026-06-14 06:30:40 AVAXUSDT
6.7200		 AVOID 21
35%		 2.05% 55.67 6.7200 6.6394 6.7023 30-60 MINS VERY HIGH 94
2026-06-14 06:30:38 LINKUSDT
7.9730		 AVOID 7
35%		 1.17% 51.46 7.9730 7.8773 7.9690 AVOID VERY HIGH 77
2026-06-14 06:30:37 ADAUSDT
0.17320000		 AVOID 15
35%		 1.59% 62.00 0.17320000 0.17105360 0.17283150 30-60 MINS VERY HIGH 93
2026-06-14 06:30:35 DOGEUSDT
0.08796000		 AVOID 21
35%		 1.97% 54.87 0.08796000 0.08690448 0.08766945 30-60 MINS VERY HIGH 80
2026-06-14 06:30:34 XRPUSDT
1.1534		 AVOID 22
35%		 1.83% 61.22 1.1534 1.1396 1.1507 30-60 MINS VERY HIGH 94
2026-06-14 06:30:32 SOLUSDT
68.9700		 AVOID 23
35%		 3.22% 57.38 68.9700 68.1424 68.8341 30-60 MINS VERY HIGH 91
2026-06-14 06:30:31 BNBUSDT
609.42		 AVOID 20
35%		 0.99% 51.63 609.42 602.11 607.95 AVOID VERY HIGH 97
2026-06-14 06:30:29 ETHUSDT
1682.89		 AVOID 23
35%		 1.09% 59.34 1682.89 1662.70 1681.91 30-60 MINS VERY HIGH 89
2026-06-14 06:30:28 BTCUSDT
64530.19		 AVOID 16
35%		 1.60% 59.19 64530.19 63755.83 64386.45 30-60 MINS VERY HIGH 87
2026-06-14 06:30:26 WLDUSDT
0.50570000		 AVOID 49
50%		 5.49% 49.53 0.50570000 0.49739286 0.50973850 30-60 MINS HIGH 87

Recent Outcomes

Showing 1-20 of 39 outcomes
Checked Coin Window Outcome Entry Stop Target Checked Price Max Gain Max Drawdown
2026-06-18 19:20:03 MEGAUSDT 60m STOP_HIT 0.06452000 0.06311857 0.06634186 0.06356000 0.09% -2.36%
2026-06-18 18:50:02 MEGAUSDT 30m STOP_HIT 0.06452000 0.06311857 0.06634186 0.06222000 0.09% -2.36%
2026-06-18 18:30:02 MEGAUSDT 10m OPEN 0.06452000 0.06311857 0.06634186 0.06391000 0.09% -1.02%
2026-06-14 23:40:03 WLDUSDT 1440m STOP_HIT 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50290000 2.17% -2.71%
2026-06-14 23:40:03 WLDUSDT 1440m STOP_HIT 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50290000 2.17% -2.71%
2026-06-14 23:40:03 WLDUSDT 1440m STOP_HIT 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50290000 2.17% -2.71%
2026-06-14 22:50:02 WLDUSDT 1440m TARGET_HIT 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.49780000 3.50% -2.67%
2026-06-14 22:50:02 WLDUSDT 1440m TARGET_HIT 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.49780000 3.50% -2.67%
2026-06-14 22:50:02 WLDUSDT 1440m TARGET_HIT 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.49780000 3.50% -2.67%
2026-06-14 05:40:03 WLDUSDT 360m OPEN 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50680000 2.17% -1.03%
2026-06-14 05:40:03 WLDUSDT 360m OPEN 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50680000 2.17% -1.03%
2026-06-14 05:40:03 WLDUSDT 360m OPEN 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50680000 2.17% -1.03%
2026-06-14 04:50:02 WLDUSDT 360m OPEN 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.50730000 2.21% -1.57%
2026-06-14 04:50:02 WLDUSDT 360m OPEN 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.50730000 2.21% -1.57%
2026-06-14 04:50:02 WLDUSDT 360m OPEN 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.50730000 2.21% -1.57%
2026-06-14 02:40:03 WLDUSDT 180m OPEN 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50130000 2.17% -1.03%
2026-06-14 02:40:03 WLDUSDT 180m OPEN 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50130000 2.17% -1.03%
2026-06-14 02:40:03 WLDUSDT 180m OPEN 0.50260000 0.49141429 0.51602286 0.50130000 2.17% -1.03%
2026-06-14 01:50:02 WLDUSDT 180m OPEN 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.50970000 2.21% -1.57%
2026-06-14 01:50:02 WLDUSDT 180m OPEN 0.50240000 0.48858393 0.51897929 0.50970000 2.21% -1.57%

Recent Snapshots

Showing 8281-8300 of 19883 snapshots
Time Coin Price Gain RSI Liquidity Spread Bid/Ask Filters
2026-06-15 11:30:14 NEARUSDT 2.3840 12.35% 57.83 83 0.0419% 0.9308 Volume trend is fading
2026-06-15 11:30:14 WLDUSDT 0.58300000 13.67% 40.98 95 0.0172% 1.3021
2026-06-15 11:30:14 NEARUSDT 2.3840 12.35% 57.83 83 0.0419% 0.9308 Volume trend is fading
2026-06-15 11:30:13 ZECUSDT 493.01 15.32% 58.21 82 0.0041% 0.9203
2026-06-15 11:30:13 ZECUSDT 493.01 15.32% 58.21 82 0.0041% 0.9203
2026-06-15 11:30:12 UTKUSDT 0.00795000 16.23% 39.88 60 %
2026-06-15 11:30:12 UTKUSDT 0.00795000 16.23% 39.88 60 %
2026-06-15 11:30:11 BANANAS31USDT 0.01080400 20.35% 59.53 93 0.0555% 1.5415
2026-06-15 11:30:11 BANANAS31USDT 0.01080400 20.35% 59.53 93 0.0555% 1.5415
2026-06-15 11:30:10 CHIPUSDT 0.04280000 20.36% 68.14 97 0.0234% 1.9439
2026-06-15 11:30:10 CHIPUSDT 0.04280000 20.36% 68.14 97 0.0234% 1.9439
2026-06-15 11:19:22 DASHUSDT 38.9400 8.59% 64.20 78 0.0257% 0.6349 Price is too close to resistance; Order book ask pressure is heavy; Crypto news sentiment is negative
2026-06-15 11:19:22 DASHUSDT 38.9400 8.59% 64.20 78 0.0257% 0.6349 Price is too close to resistance; Order book ask pressure is heavy; Crypto news sentiment is negative
2026-06-15 11:19:20 INJUSDT 5.2440 1.98% 46.15 89 0.0191% 1.0566 Volume trend is fading; Crypto news sentiment is negative
2026-06-15 11:19:20 INJUSDT 5.2440 1.98% 46.15 89 0.0191% 1.0566 Volume trend is fading; Crypto news sentiment is negative
2026-06-15 11:19:18 TRXUSDT 0.32020000 0.91% 27.78 89 0.0312% 1.1151 Price is too close to resistance; Volatility too low; Crypto news sentiment is negative
2026-06-15 11:19:18 TRXUSDT 0.32020000 0.91% 27.78 89 0.0312% 1.1151 Price is too close to resistance; Volatility too low; Crypto news sentiment is negative
2026-06-15 11:19:17 AVAXUSDT 6.7770 1.71% 57.43 90 0.0148% 1.0524 Price is too close to resistance; Volatility too low; Crypto news sentiment is negative
2026-06-15 11:19:17 AVAXUSDT 6.7770 1.71% 57.43 90 0.0148% 1.0524 Price is too close to resistance; Volatility too low; Crypto news sentiment is negative
2026-06-15 11:19:15 LINKUSDT 8.2110 3.70% 59.82 89 0.0122% 1.0051 Volume trend is fading; Price is too close to resistance; Volatility too low; Crypto news sentiment is negative

Signal Accuracy By Coin

Coin Alerts BUY Alerts Targets Stops Win Rate Avg Max Gain Avg Drawdown
WLDUSDT 315 36 3 3 50.0% 1.38% -1.38%
ADAUSDT 330 0 0 0 - - -
DOGEUSDT 330 0 0 0 - - -
BTCUSDT 330 0 0 0 - - -
SOLUSDT 330 0 0 0 - - -
LINKUSDT 330 0 0 0 - - -
AVAXUSDT 330 0 0 0 - - -
XRPUSDT 330 0 0 0 - - -
ETHUSDT 330 0 0 0 - - -
BNBUSDT 330 0 0 0 - - -
TRXUSDT 330 0 0 0 - - -
SUIUSDT 313 0 0 0 - - -
ONDOUSDT 304 0 0 0 - - -
ZECUSDT 304 0 0 0 - - -
INJUSDT 304 0 0 0 - - -
NEARUSDT 304 0 0 0 - - -
DASHUSDT 304 0 0 0 - - -
MEGAUSDT 177 4 0 2 0.0% 0.09% -1.91%
XLMUSDT 120 0 0 0 - - -
TAOUSDT 119 0 0 0 - - -

Filter Impact

Filter Reason Outcomes Targets Stops Not Entered Win Rate Expectancy
No filter impact data yet. Run scanner and outcome checks until filtered alerts have 1440m outcomes.
Use this to find filters that block setups which later perform well or expose filters that correctly catch losing conditions.

AI Review Performance

Bucket Outcomes Targets Stops Win Rate Expectancy Avg MFE Avg MAE
AI APPROVED 0 0 0 - - - -
AI REJECTED 0 0 0 - - - -
RULE ONLY 0 0 0 - - - -
AI FAILED OR UNKNOWN 6 3 3 50.0% -0.02R 1.12R -1.09R
AI guard uses 1440m outcomes over 45 days. It activates after 10 AI-approved outcomes below 0.00R expectancy.

AI Attribution Detail

Symbol Total Total Exp AI Approved AI Exp Rule Only Rule Exp AI Delta AI Rejected Rejected Exp
WLDUSDT 6 -0.02R 0 - 0 - - 0 -
Market Regime Total Total Exp AI Approved AI Exp Rule Only Rule Exp AI Delta AI Rejected Rejected Exp
BULLISH 6 -0.02R 0 - 0 - - 0 -
Session Hour Total Total Exp AI Approved AI Exp Rule Only Rule Exp AI Delta AI Rejected Rejected Exp
19 3 1.09R 0 - 0 - - 0 -
20 3 -1.13R 0 - 0 - - 0 -
Filter Reason Total Total Exp AI Approved AI Exp AI Rejected Rejected Exp Rule Only Rule Exp AI Delta
No AI attribution data by filter reason yet.
AI Reasoning Category Total Total Exp AI Approved Approved Exp AI Rejected Rejected Exp Unknown Unknown Exp
Poor Reward/Risk 6 -0.02R 0 - 0 - 6 -0.02R
Trend / Timeframe Alignment 6 -0.02R 0 - 0 - 6 -0.02R
Momentum / Volume Confirmation 6 -0.02R 0 - 0 - 6 -0.02R
AI Delta compares AI-approved expectancy against rule-only expectancy for the same group or filter reason. Reasoning categories classify stored AI-reviewed reasoning text, so categories can overlap when one review mentions several issues.

Session Learning

Hour Outcomes Targets Stops Stop Rate Expectancy Avg MFE Avg MAE
19:00 3 3 0 0.0% 1.09R 1.27R -0.97R
20:00 3 0 3 100.0% -1.13R 0.97R -1.22R
00:00 0 0 0 - - - -
01:00 0 0 0 - - - -
02:00 0 0 0 - - - -
03:00 0 0 0 - - - -
04:00 0 0 0 - - - -
05:00 0 0 0 - - - -
Session filter activates when the current hour has enough outcomes and weak expectancy or high stop rate.